Thursday, October 20, 2011

Taylor Buchholtz: Arbitration

Taylor Buchholtz has earned just a 1.1 WAR in 5 seasons. In 2011, he had a .4 WAR. Buchholtz is 30 years old, and will be a free agent in 2013 (He made $600,000 in 2011). Buchholtz is worth 1.2 million according to the Halladay Standard according to 2011 WAR. In 2010, he earned a .1 WAR with Blue Jays and Rockies. He has struggled with injuries, so perhaps this is inappropriate to calculate, but he only threw 12 innings in 2010 and 26 in 2011. If he pitched 200 innings in 2010 (with the same success), he would have earned a 1.67 WAR, and would have had a 3.08 WAR in 2011 using the same metric. It would be foolish to pay him expecting that, but it could make him underpaid, if only he can stay healthy. He had a -2.54 PE (all his appearances were as a reliever) in 2011, and a .66 in the same role in 2010. The small samples are certainly off-putting for one trying to gather statistics. As he is going into arbitration, it is hard to put a number on what would be too high for the Mets to want to keep him. It is also hard to measure what his trade value would be.

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