Saturday, October 29, 2011

Cleveland Indians prospect Ezequiel Carrera

Ezequiel Carerra played in 68 games for the Cleveland Indians in 2011, his first taste of Major League baseball. He had a -.5 WAR, mainly because of his terrible -.6 D-WAR. He had an OBP of just .301, .613 OPS, .75 PPG, and 3.23 PAPP, very unimpressive. He hit too many groundballs (1.21 GB/FB ratio), and walked only 7.1% of the time (league average is 8.1%). His Secondary Average was just .173, and his ISO was .069. One can't blame his BABIP, because it was almost league average at .293. However, he saw 3.91 Pit/PA (above league average), giving him a slightly above league average PPS at 91.56. In 82 games playing for the AAA Columbus Clippers (who led the International League in both runs and OBP), Carrera had a .371 OBP (the exact same as his entire minor league career), 1.52 PPG, 2.27 PAPP, walked 10% of the time, and 2.84 Simple WAR. Through the "Durham Bull Metric" his numbers would look like this .325 OBP, 1.35 WAR, 2.84 PAPP, and 1.12 PPG. According to this metric, he grades out to not be a great player, but a solid player that can be used towards the bottom of the lineup. He does grade out to be better than he was in 2011 though, and we will see if that holds true over a larger sample size.

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