Tuesday, December 6, 2011

Twins resign Matt Capps

The Twins have resigned reliever Matt Capps to a 1 year 4.5 million dollar deal (with a 6 million dollar option). Capps had a WAR of .8 in 2011, and a WAR average of .47 in the past 3 years. It doesn't take a genius to realize that this isn't worth 4.5 million dollars. In fact, its worth about 1.41 million (he was worth 2.4 million in 2011). He actually was awful in 2011, getting a 3.36 PE as a reliever, which makes things worse (also worse was his adjusted PE at 3.86). His FIP - was 119 and his SIERA was average at 4.13. His TR in 2011 was a solid 9.19 and in his career its a great 11.37. His other career numbers include an adjusted PE of 1.04, FIP - of 92, and 3.64 SIERA. Some metrics are decently positive, but some are really poor, such as his home run rate, and his mediocre groundball/flyball ratio. Capps doesn't walk hardly anyone, and thats positive obviously, but it certainly doesn't outweigh all the other bad metrics. 4.5 million dollars is an absurd amount of money for a reliever, especially for a pedestrian reliever like Capps. If this is the way the Terry Ryan Twins will operate, expect the Twins to have tons of losing seasons.

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