I watched the Orioles play the Rays in a Spring Training broadcast. There was a broadcast gun, so I charted all the pitches I could for three Orioles pitchers. I put them all in this spreadsheet, which you can see by clicking on the link (I didn't put it in the post because it is just the numbers and kind of boring really).
thought the velocity on the broadcast was a little down, as Jeff Niemann
(though there were stories that his velocity is just down right now)
and Jim Johnson seemed to both be down a tick.
Kevin Gausman was the Orioles first round pick in 2012 and he started the game.
Overall Average: 88.9 MPH
Fastball Average: 92.72 MPH
Richards is the closest comparison as far as overall velocity for
starting pitchers, which is very good, of course, with a bias of Gausman
throwing a lot of fastballs. Kyle Weiland is actually the best comparison for him fastball wise, right at 92.72 MPH, in the top 26 % of pitchers, very solid velocity.
had some problems differing from what I call his slider and I call his
changeup, especially since they were so similar in velocity. From the
best I can tell:
Curve/Slider: 78.88 MPH
Change: 80.5 MPH
From Mark Anderson's scouting report on Gausman, his fastball
averages between 92-93 MPH, which is what we saw. Unfortunately,
Anderson (nor Perfect Game) has velocities on the breaking pitch, but
the "curveball" is 12-6 in nature, and that is not the pitch I saw.
While he has good hard curve velocity, it breaks like a slider. It has
well below average velocity, as does the change. Of course, their may be
some misclassifications on my part, but his breaking pitches (his non
fastball averaged 79.73 as a whole) don't really match his fastball in
Slider: 79 MPH
do have a little bit of Pitch F/X data on Bundy thanks to his promotion
to the big leagues at the end of 2012. Even though he threw fastballs
63% of the time, his average pitch was thrown 85.20 MPH, below average
for a reliever. The heavier dosage of fastballs in his relief outing
that I saw helps his overall velocity to a pretty elite category.
Comparing the velocity of his pitches to his time in the MLB is a little
tricky as well. Comparing his velocities to his Brooks Baseball
velocities, he is down across the board, something that he himself as complained about.
However, when you look at the MLB AM data (at say, FanGraphs), the
fastball is just over .2 MPH slower, and the change just about .4 MPH
slower. This is because MLB AM and Brooks measure velocity a little bit
differently. From what I understand, Brooks measures velocity starting
from 55 feet away from the plate, trying to take in account a general
release point, while the MLB AM measurements measures more like a
traditional radar gun. So it isn't surprising that a stadium and
broadcast gun would show some differences from Brooks (that is why, if
you are using Brooks', use Brooks' leaderboards to compare velocities,
and if you are using the MLB AM velocities, use FanGraphs' leaderboard).
With all this said, while Bundy is still throwing hard, and I don't
know if it is enough for it to be concerning, he does seem to be down
I saw Mike Belfiore pitch in AFL broadcasts, but I couldn't find any Pitch F/X data on him:
didn't throw many breaking pitches, so the overall velocity has some
bias. The fastball is obviously well below average for a reliever.