Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Marlins sign Gary Glover

The Miami Marlins have signed pitcher Gary Glover to a minor league contract. Glover has been in the KBO since the middle of 2009. In Korea, he had a -.22 PE as a starter. This projects to a 2.518 PE ceiling and 4.248 PE floor in the Majors. Assuming Glover throws 100 innings for the Marlins in 2012 (just for theoretical purposes), his ceiling would be a .58 cWAR and under replacement would be the floor. Glover also spent 2006 in Japan in the NPB and really struggled with a 4.97 ERA. He has also had a long MLB career, pitching over 500 innings, with a .3 WAR in that time. Using our hypothetical 100 inning season, he would be about replacement (technically .058 WAR). His career PE in the MLB is 3.598 with an Adjusted PE of 3.428, meaning he performed between the ceiling and the floor of what his KBO projection looks like. He gave up a .338 OBP and .793 OPS.  His FIP - is 110, and he threw about 93 MPH in 2008. One expects that his velocity has fallen a bit. Add to this that he gives up more contact than an average pitcher, and this gives us a pretty good idea of how Glover will pitch in 2012. The idea we get is not very good. Glover being a 35 year old replacement type pitcher isn't very attractive, and its hard to believe that Glover will provide any kind of impact for the Marlins in 2012.

No comments:

Post a Comment