Tuesday, January 17, 2012

A's Acquire Seth Smith

The Rockies traded Seth Smith to the A's for Guillermo Moscoso and Josh Outman.

Smith agreed to a 2.145 million dollar deal the day before being traded. Smith had a 0 WAR in 2011, and has averaged a 1 WAR over the past 3 years, worth 3 million dollars. Terrible on defense (-1 WAR in his career, and a -1.4 WAR in 2011), he has a below average fielding percentage and range factor in the outfield. He has a career OBP of .348 and 110 OPS +. He has a very good 6.3 Runs Created per Game metric, with a .636 Offensive Winning percentage. He has good power at .209 ISO, and is reasonably efficient with a .330 Sec Average. The above average walker sees 3.95 pitches per plate appearance, giving him a PPS of 95.84.

Moscoso had a 2.2 WAR in his first season with significant pitching time. As mostly a starter, he has a PE of 1.227 with an Adjusted PE of 1.977. His FIP - is 105, with a SIERA of 4.96. He had a horrible groundball rate of .50, and gives up just under 1 HR/9IP. These statistics, combined with Coors (the horrible groundball rate really makes you scratch your head), makes me believe he won't repeat his 2011 success.

Outman, besides having an awesome pitching name, has a career 2.7 WAR in 3 seasons (although it is just 151.1 innings, mostly as a starter, so it is about a season). His FIP - is 97, but his SIERA is a 4.51. He also gives up more flyballs than groundballs.

I really don't understand this deal from the Rockies side. It really shows a lack of understanding by the organization of their own ballpark and advanced pitching statistics. For the A's, they get a much needed bat, although it comes with defense baggage, and trade 2 pitchers that appear to be products of the ballpark. 

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