Thursday, November 17, 2011
Free Agent Watch: Laynce Nix
Laynce Nix made $700,000 in 2011, and it seems unlikely he will see that kind of money in 2012. He had a 3.7 WAR in 2 years with the Reds in 09 and 10, which is worth 5.6 million dollars according to the Halladay Standard. In 2011 with the Nationals, he had a .8 WAR, worth 2.4 million according to the Halladay Standard. While he had a 0 D-WAR with the Nationals, his D-WAR with his 2 years with the Reds was 2.6. In 2011: he had an OPS + of 103, a .299 OBP, .451 Slugging, and 1.647 04S, which is just under average. He had a .272 Secondary Averae, .201 ISO, and 2.925 PAPP (since he was used a lot as a pinch hitter, averaging just 2.83 PA per games played, citing his .81 PPG probably isn't fair). This gave him a 4.9 Runs Created per Game, and .542 Offensive Winning Percentage. In his career, he has an OPS + of 85, a .288 OBP, an average .430 SLG, and 1.582 O4S. This leads to a 3.11 PAPP, .84 PPG, and 4.3 Runs Created Per Game (.447 Offensive Winning Percentage). His Secondary Average is .248, and his ISO is .185. He does then with a .294 BABIP. In 2011, he actually had a .284 BABIP, so his 2011 season, while better than his career averages, could have been better. He walks well below league average (6.6% in 2011) at 5.7%, but homers and hits extra base hits well above average. He is a flyball and linedrive hitter, but sports an under average Pit/PA. In fact, his PPS is quite terrible at 83.69 for his career and 79.97 in 2011. Nix is not very attractive as a hitter, as the key metrics show above. He isn't someone you plug into your lineup everyday and have success. However, according to WAR, he may be slightly undervalued. As a bench player, that can come off and play some defense and the ball hard occasionally, he can be worth something. Not much, I wouldn't go to a million dollars or anything, but at his 2011 salary, would definitely try to bring him in.